IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#199
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#262
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.2%	26.8%	10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	1.7%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	13.4	14.6

.500 or above	55.6%	88.2%	54.9%
.500 or above in Conference	51.7%	77.7%	51.1%
Conference Champion	8.6%	18.2%	8.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.7%	0.2%	6.8%

First Four	2.0%	2.4%	2.0%
First Round	10.3%	25.2%	9.9%
Second Round	0.8%	2.1%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 2.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 4	12 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	7	@ West Virginia	L	63-84	2%
Dec 09, 2020	207	Central Michigan	W	82-78	63%
Dec 19, 2020	167	@ Northern Kentucky	L	66-71	34%
Dec 20, 2020	167	@ Northern Kentucky	L	66-71	33%
Dec 26, 2020	242	@ Cleveland St.	L	70-71	48%
Dec 27, 2020	242	@ Cleveland St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 01, 2021	240	Green Bay	W	84-79	68%
Jan 02, 2021	240	Green Bay	W	84-79	68%
Jan 08, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	72-80	23%
Jan 09, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	72-80	24%
Jan 15, 2021	243	@ Oakland	L	70-71	49%
Jan 16, 2021	243	@ Oakland	L	70-71	49%
Jan 22, 2021	216	Illinois-Chicago	W	74-69	65%
Jan 23, 2021	216	Illinois-Chicago	W	74-69	65%
Jan 29, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	79-73	68%
Jan 30, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	79-73	67%
Feb 05, 2021	212	@ Robert Morris	L	68-70	44%
Feb 06, 2021	212	@ Robert Morris	L	68-70	44%
Feb 12, 2021	227	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	74-69	66%
Feb 13, 2021	227	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	74-69	65%
Feb 19, 2021	295	IUPUI	W	82-74	75%
Feb 20, 2021	295	IUPUI	W	82-74	75%
Projected Record						11 - 11	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.6	1.9	2.6	2.2	1.0	0.3				8.6	1st
2nd										0.3	2.0	4.5	4.6	2.3	0.7	0.1					14.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	2.6	5.8	4.4	1.1	0.1							14.3	3rd
4th								0.2	3.0	6.3	3.4	0.7	0.0								13.6	4th
5th							0.2	2.4	6.2	3.3	0.5	0.0									12.6	5th
6th						0.1	1.6	5.1	2.9	0.5	0.0										10.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.2	1.4	4.1	3.1	0.6	0.0											9.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	2.5	0.6	0.0												7.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.8	0.4	0.0													5.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.4	0.9	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0														3.7	10th

Total	0.0	0.5	1.2	2.7	4.2	6.4	8.8	11.5	13.0	13.0	11.8	10.3	7.5	5.0	2.8	1.0	0.3					Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-3	93.2%	1.0		0.8	0.1
14-4	76.1%	2.2		1.7	0.5	0.0
13-5	51.4%	2.6		1.4	1.0	0.1
12-6	24.7%	1.9		0.6	0.9	0.3	0.0
11-7	6.0%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.6%	8.6		4.9	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.3%		60.7%	58.0%	2.7%	11.3			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.1		6.4%
15-3	1.0%		52.2%	48.0%	4.3%	12.5							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		8.2%
14-4	2.8%		41.5%	41.5%	0.0%	13.3												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.7		0.1%
13-5	5.0%		29.4%	29.4%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	3.5
12-6	7.5%		25.5%	25.4%	0.1%	14.3													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	5.6		0.1%
11-7	10.3%		16.5%	16.5%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.4	8.6
10-8	11.8%		12.9%	12.9%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	10.3
9-9	13.0%		8.8%	8.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	11.8
8-10	13.0%		6.2%	6.2%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	12.2
7-11	11.5%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.4	11.0
6-12	8.8%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	8.6
5-13	6.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.3
4-14	4.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
3-15	2.7%																							2.7
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.2%	11.2%	0.1%	14.6			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	2.3	3.1	3.4	88.8		0.1%